Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.029051 0.033795 0.039017 0.045187 0.052269 0.060137 0.069534
2025-10-19 0.021156 0.027113 0.034276 0.043498 0.055026 0.068932 0.086944
2025-10-26 0.016363 0.022825 0.031216 0.042852 0.058496 0.078727 0.106780
2025-11-02 0.012748 0.019190 0.028151 0.041420 0.060444 0.086582 0.125032
2025-11-09 0.010228 0.016497 0.025774 0.040344 0.062456 0.094507 0.144159
2025-11-16 0.008572 0.014719 0.024338 0.040265 0.065694 0.104340 0.167000
2025-11-23 0.007081 0.012897 0.022487 0.039169 0.067083 0.111397 0.186312
2025-11-30 0.006402 0.012288 0.022457 0.040931 0.073147 0.126279 0.219421
2025-12-07 0.005567 0.011246 0.021508 0.040951 0.076225 0.136556 0.246036
2025-12-14 0.004695 0.009974 0.019941 0.039611 0.076693 0.142380 0.265602
2025-12-21 0.004089 0.009103 0.018972 0.039201 0.078718 0.151023 0.290863
2025-12-28 0.003852 0.008943 0.019335 0.041366 0.085770 0.169357 0.335385
2026-01-04 0.003548 0.008601 0.019311 0.042808 0.091698 0.186417 0.379700
2026-01-11 0.003052 0.007745 0.018092 0.041628 0.092257 0.193333 0.405450
2026-01-18 0.002690 0.007130 0.017295 0.041223 0.094340 0.203421 0.438434
2026-01-25 0.002318 0.006422 0.016179 0.039949 0.094399 0.209400 0.463711
2026-02-01 0.002018 0.005836 0.015252 0.038962 0.094938 0.216381 0.491703
2026-02-08 0.001813 0.005456 0.014758 0.038913 0.097562 0.228011 0.530627
2026-02-15 0.001582 0.004963 0.013904 0.037865 0.097723 0.234268 0.558470
2026-02-22 0.001508 0.004900 0.014143 0.039579 0.104668 0.256325 0.623489
2026-03-01 0.001367 0.004614 0.013746 0.039602 0.107476 0.269213 0.668926
2026-03-08 0.001192 0.004187 0.012897 0.038305 0.106811 0.273927 0.695885
2026-03-15 0.001071 0.003903 0.012406 0.037909 0.108405 0.284158 0.736826